How to ride a finish

How to ride a finish

Saturday, 11 July 2015

Final Post

This will be my last post on this blog.

Everything I write from now on will be available at www.horses4coursesuk.co.uk and I very much hope that you will join me there.

As well as the same race reviews and highlighted non triers, there will be much more for you to profit from and information you will hopefully find valuable in your quest for winners.

Writing this blog has been an enjoyable experience and I have come into contact with some great people, something I will always be very grateful for. There are numerous reasons for changing to a website but the main one is value, for me. There are a great many tipsters that follow me and I find my prices disappearing and horses that should be trying are invariably pulled because the price has disappeared. This has happened on numerous occasions and horses that were supposed to be trying have been declared non runners or simply stopped due to price.
At least if I charge a small fee for all the work I put in, and let you in on a few of the things that go on and that can potentially help you, I am reimbursed in some small way for the effort I put in and the prices should stay intact to a much larger extent.

This blog has been a labour of love in no small part and, as I say, it has been enjoyable and rewarding. I have highlighted many winners, some at huge odds, and the feedback I have received has been rewarding also. It is always fulfilling to be told that you have made someone's day by making them money they would otherwise not have had.

I hope to continue to make people money in much the same style, just with a lot more reasoning and processes explained.

I hope you join in with me but if you choose not to I hope you have gained knowledge and a different view of what really goes on in racing through this page.

All the best.
(and don't believe everything you see).

Dave

9th July 2015

5:30 Newmarket
Kerching did not move a muscle on Cumani's White Lake at any stage of the race, keeping the horse in last position throughout. There were machinations that appeared to mean something to the eye but nothing meaningful was attempted and, because of this it was hard to tell exactly what we can expect from the animal but this is a decent sort with a rating of 104. After two highly tried runs this year in very good company this was a dip in grade but not by a massive amount and I'm fairly sure there will be a race in mind for it by the Italian maestro.

6:00 Newmarket
When you read the form of this race in future weeks please do not fall into the trap of seeing that Sandfrankskipsgo's position of last but one and discard it's performance. With the position Durcan got himself into it was impossible to tell if the horse was off or not and it never saw daylight of any kind but was it meant to? Crate's animal cantered through the race and looked as if it could have gone and won with even the slightest urging from the saddle, had the opening presented itself of course.

2:20 Doncaster
Even though I hadn't had time to update the entries list I hope some of you remembered Who's Shirl and had a few quid on.

3:25 Doncaster
Sean Levey spent the entire race hanging on to Daydream Believer  as if his life depended on it and did not relinquish that hold at any stage.

4:00 Doncaster
James McDonald waved his whip a lot during this contest but his body was completely stationary and he was keeping more than a bit back for himself upon Yat Ding Yau of William Jarvis's.

5:10 Doncaster
Sleepy Blue Ocean was showing speed until just inside the two pole when Joe Doyle decided the time was right to drag it back through the field, eventually getting it well beaten.
Coiste Bodhar was not in the mood, or wasn't allowed to be, to run anything like the race it ran on it's previous start when it made the decent pace it's stablemate needed.

5:40 Doncaster
 Hot Spice won this by six lengths but I wonder how far the winning distance would have been had Serena Brotherton allowed it to have it's head in the final furlong?

2:30 Carlisle
There is no way on this earth that Joe Fanning was trying to win this race on Highly Sprung. Not unless he has some muscle wasting disease that prevents his arms from using a whip in the same way he does (did) (will do) when he's on one that the money is down on. He hit his right boot twice when a length down in the final furlong and then switched his whip to try and knock the skin off the rice pudding the stable lass had stuck the the animal's flank in the parade ring prior to the off.

3:35 Carlisle
Danny O'Ruairc wasn't off in the slightest but at least a better job of covering it up was made then was the case on it's previous run.

4:45 Carlisle
There were many that deserved a mention in this race but we will just say that Saint Thomas of John Mackie's rose to the top like the soured, pungent cream in a barrel full of greasy water and was followed, not too far behind metaphorically, by Incurs Four Faults which was right in the mix two out looking like it would play a part in the finish before the magical Joe Fanning made another horse disappear.

5:20 Carlisle
Nothing caught the eye more than Chris Grant's Dubai Celebrity (again) and there will be an almighty gamble surely coming on this in the near future.

6:10 Epsom
DO I really need to mention Taurian for a third successive time?

6:40 Epsom
Key On Kodiac was restrained from just over two out and allowed to come home in it's own time. This one of Charlie Hills' will certainly be seen to better effect in nurseries.
Adventurous from the Johnston yard was educated in a very quiet, public school remedial class sense and was trying to storm home up the hill but that wasn't in the script.

7:10 Epsom
If you watched this race there will not be any need for m to point out Duelling Dragon of Michael Scudamore's which was simply blatant in it's being stopped.

8:50 Epsom
I do not profess to know which race John Quinn is aiming Nezar towards but the fact that he sent it down to Epsom for this race, in which it was never going to be a trier, says a lot for the amount of effort that is being put in to getting it's mark dropped.

8:05 Newbury
Apart from leaving the stalls and making it to the finishing line I'm not entirely sure what else Jim Crowley asked Included to do in this race. At least it now knows what it feels like to be dragged backwards when it still has energy left to give because that will undoubtedly be an integral part of it's career from now on.

9:10 Newbury
This was a sighter or a tester for Star Of Spring and Jim Crowley knew what he was doing in following Trucanini (strange that, isn't it?) through for the whole race, just leaving enough space between himself and the winner so that if the horse should surprise him he was covered.


8th July part two

3:20 Wolverhampton
This race seems like a good place to start. Late Shipment has run two races that should have seen it's mark lowered but the handicapper has not relented. What choice do you have but to pop it in a seller around Wolverhampton?
What's even better is if a neighbour can win the race that you are holding up the prices of with your odds on shot. It's no shock to say that Late Shipment wasn't off in this but it was very profitable to have Star Anise, a horse I have been following closely, winning after being well backed since the birds started chirping in the morning.
4:50 Wolverhampton
Loughnane's Treasury Notes ran on in to third position and they were spread out  behind it but it was the way the Loughnane horse finished third, rather than the fact it did, that caught the eye. The horse wasn't ridden to win, that is beyond any doubt, but it clearly had an awful lot of energy left in the final furlong and was climbing all the way to the line because of the hold Shane Gray had on it and the abundance of energy it had to play with.
 5:20 Wolverhampton
Star Links must wonder why he hasn't been retired yet but then a large proportion of Shane Donohoe's stable may as well be retired for much of the year. It seems Sylvester Kirk hasn't decided to press the "start up" button on Star Links yet.
The main horse that caught the eye in this was Rockfast which led them to the home straight and was then held to lose places as the next three eased past it. Levey still had his hands full, though, and the horse began to close on the leaders as they  ran out of steam. He didn't want to be there and found himself having to take evasive action in order to fulfill his instructions.
6:10 Bath
Ed McMahon's Rockmount was held far enough back by Royston French to make it's task way too difficult, or at least more unlikely. McMahon now has this one off a mark of 50 and it looks more than likely that the horse will be asked to make a much more serious effort in a race very soon.
6:40 Bath
Captain Ryan brought about a quick double for us in this after Babyfact won the previous race. Catalina's Diamond is a horse I choose to ignore for much of the year as Pat Murphy likes to be ultra sure of it winning when his money is down and he is the epitome of a cautious man but if you looked at the jockey bookings it was obvious as to why Drowne did not look overly zealous on Murphy's horse whilst Makin's animal won with a bit in hand.
Burnt Cream looks to be getting very close to a trying effort and didn't receive the most animated of rides in this.
7:10 Bath
Dangerous Age would have walked this race if it had been wanted but it lost about five or six lengths with a tardy start and then, when the pace was just about to quicken, Josephine Gordon chose to tuck in behind the others while Extrasolar went wide and quickened away. Had Gordon followed the Perrett horse the race would have been won and I could have claimed a treble.
5:40 Bath
If Bill Turner wants to win with Lucky Diva the horse is more than capable of fulfilling that wish in it's next couple of races and felt ony a couple of light flicks from the whip of Ryan While in this. The fact that it finished a close third under a particularly ineffective ride only serves to enhance this view although this race did look to be as near to a foregone conclusion as I have seen for a couple of weeks and there was an inevitable feeling that Mulholland's horse would win and, then, that it could have won by a lot further than the neck it eventually did.
8:10 Bath 
Cantankerous will be winning very shortly and it was illuminating that Donohoe pushed it into the lead two out before reining it back into relative obscurity.
Penny's Boy also looks likely to do very much better shortly and Doctor Kehoe will be carrying my money in one of it's next two outings.
6:20 Kempton
Water Dancer won this with a hell of a lot in hand but we will have to wait to see if Elsworth wants to make use of that advantage in the short term.
Exceeding Power looked to be ridden for a place and blatantly has enough in hand of it's mark to be winning in the short term.
6:50 kempton
I would suggest that you watch this race and, more specifically, the run of Tony Carroll's Wowee. This one had Jim Crowley on board but may as well have been ridden by me for all the actual riding Crowley did. Inside the two marker this one was going better than anything else but that was all that you could say about it because after that Crowley managed to look nothing like a professional jockey and used less of his muscles from that point on than it takes to eat a biscuit. Wowee was 66/1 and this was only it's fifth outing. When Carroll thinks it's mark is right and the race is winable and the ground is perfect and the seasonal equinox has seen the moon rise fittingly over the Great Pyramid of Giza,  maybe then we will see what the horse can do.

7:50 Kempton
Dalalah will be winning shortly and was only in this race for educational purposes. 
Ron Harris's Valiant Faith is a much better horse than someone thought prior to this race, either that or Oisin Murphy wasn't concentrating on covering it's ability effectively because there is presumably no way Harris would have wanted it showing up this brazenly on it's second start.
Hannon's November is also very, very useful in the context of this race. It was there to challenge two out and when the pace changed it was held and lost a couple of places before  Dobbs very gently allowed it to stay on again but to nowhere near the degree it could have done.

Friday, 10 July 2015

Entries Saturday 11th July



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Your Notes for: Laurence (GB) | Manage alert 
Note Created: 15 Jun 2015 | 22:51 
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Thursday, 9 July 2015

8th July part one

4:00 Catterick
Mr F Lynch will presumably be hoping to be on Saltarello when Majorie Fife deems it to be the right day for the horse. He had it so far behind turning for home you would have thought the next move was to drop it out and ease it down but Lynch must have thought the race was beyond the animal and made as if to try and gain on the leaders. I assume he did not know how much horse he had under him because even with a massive task on it's hands the horse still looked as if it  could have challenged those in front had it been asked to do so. The handicap mark is back down to a very lenient looking level in the mid sixties which is appreciably below the one it last won off and I don't think we will have long to wait with this one.

4;30 Catterick
Miss Macnamara still looks to be a handicap snip and Graham Lee did absolutely nothing of any note on Todhunter's horse at any stage of the race. it has been unlucky over hurdles in recent attempts over the smaller obstacles but the flat still appears to be it's best option of paying the training bills this season.

5:00 Catterick
I commented on a horse of Alan Berry's called Partner's Gold in the early part of 2014 when it was looking potentially well handicapped around Southwell. It has been said on more than one occasion that Berry couldn't train politicians to lie but he is obviously having help from someone who knows what they are doing because this one will be adding to recent noteworthy efforts by it's stablemates in the last couple of months before too long. Paddy Mathers had a very tight hold of it's head throughout the final three furlongs and the horse still wanted to accomplish something meaningful in the closing stages but was not allowed to do so.

5:30 Catterick
If Spirit Of Wedza doesn't improve out of all recognition in the near future I have a nephew that hasn't made it through the evolutionary cycle and is currently looking for a vine to swing from.

2:40 Lingfield
Eve Johnson Houghton has had a very quiet year so far by her standards and this may be changing soon with the likes of Becca Campbell that ran fourth in this race. An abundance of energy was sill available to John Fahy when it crossed the line.

3:40 Lingfield
Phillip Hide may well have an outstanding betting proposition on his hands with Snow Conditions in the not too distant future. It had runnign room three out and Cam Hardie waited. Then it didn't have running room and he looked agitated.
Shortly after, running room presented itself again and Hardie sat tight before pulling out with less than a furlong to run and then not getting after his mount until the final seventy yards when it became evident that if it had been asked earlier there was enough to draw on to win the race.

 4:40 Lingfield
This is not the extent of Toxaris's talent and Kelly knew what he had left if you watch the race closely. He made it look good for a furlong and a half before getting into "the drive position" and the horse made two lengths very quickly to put it's head in front on the line.
Just Ching is also worth noting from this race and Hardie dropped it out very quickly two out.

5:10 Lingfield
Big McIntosh won this with enough in hand to seriously confuse the handicapper and John Ryan has campaigned this very shadily in the past few months to pull off this gamble.
Blues Dancer will be tried with in the near future and will hopefully win with the same ease as Big McIntosh whilst Forgiving Glance of Alan King's was held up for ever by Sweeney and was finishing with half of the zest of what it looked capable of.

Entries 10th July 2015

Also to be added are:

Twin Point 4:35 York
Steelriver    4:00 York



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